awesome-prediction-markets

Awesome Prediction Markets

Overview of of various Prediciton Markets along with selected reading, threads, and various code repositories

Markets

• Polymarket
  • Polygon, USDC
• Manifold
  • Offchain and no real money
• Kalshi
  • CFTC Regulated so via bank
• Metaculus
• Predictit
• Insight Predictions
• Hedgehog
  • on solana, has a nice mobile app
• Aver
• Pascal
  • Solana, USDC (but devnet)
• Futuur
• Infer
• smarkets
• Pulse Markets
  • On near uses flux protocol for oracles
• Polkamarkets
  • on polkadot
• Omen
  • no longer active but here is an ipfs link

Selected Reading

• Prediction Market FAQ
• Information Markets, Decision Markets, Attention Markets, Action Markets
• Play Money and Reputation Systems
• The Passage Of Polymarket
• ACX Grant Results
• Mantic Monday: Dogs in Wizard hats
• Market Mechanics
• Borrow away!
• Invasion Edition
• Above the Fold
• The Making of a Top Forecaster
• Amplyifing Research via Forecaster Part 1 and Part 2
• Incentive problems with forecasting
• Maximum Truth: Betting on the Elections

Cool Websites

• BaseRateTimes - News through the lens of various prediction markets
• MetaForecast - Aggregator
• loki.red Polymarket Stats
• Good Judgement

Respositories

• Polymarket Info
• Polymarket Stats
• Polymarket Trader
• Manifold Market Maker
• Manifold Market Maker that uses OpenAI to answer questions

Lists

• 0xperp
• Zeitgeist
• Insight